Contributors:
Darryl Gurganious,
Mareca Hatler,
Charlie Chi Ph.D,
Mike Ritter Ph.D

Pages: 214
(84 figures, 43 tables)
Includes PowerPoint Presentation
and an exclusive interview with Bob Heile,
Chairman of the ZigBee Alliance

Table of Contents

ON World's Research Features:
* Technology & industry expertise
* In-depth primary investigation
* Drivers, forecasts, & value system
* Fortune 1000 customers worldwide
* Money back guarantee

Press release

Methodology

Testimonials

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VIP Price:
$2999 $1999 (multi-user/corporate*)
$1999 $1499 (single user-- PDF only)

*Includes PDF, PowerPoint presentation,
and Q&A supplement

Synopsis:

In 2007, there were 7 million 802.15.4 and ZigBee chipsets sold worldwide and adoption is accelerating in multiple industries.

"802.15.4 & ZigBee WPANs: The Next Generation" is the culmination of two years of intensive investigation on the dynamic world of Wireless Sensor Networks and low data rate wireless networking. It is an essential resource for executives, product managers, technologists, and investors of wireless personal area network technologies.

Based on 828 interviews conducted between 2007 and 2008, this report provides actionable market data and analysis on the fastest growing and largest markets for ZigBee, 802.15.4 and 802.15.4 derivatives.

ON World is the leading research company on low power wireless sensing and control technologies and this is our 15th report on the subject.

Primary Research:

828 total interviews including:

End Users
448 interviews with utilities, commercial buildings, industrial companies, and home installers...

Vendors/Experts
380 interviews and online surveys with executives, product managers, and industry experts with leading wireless sensor network and 15.4/ZigBee companies

Report Overview:

Market Forces & Drivers

• Market forces analysis of each of the major 15.4 & ZigBee target markets today including:

AMI
Commercial buildings
Residential
Industrial
WSN "Niches"
Others ...

• Drivers and inhibitors for 15.4 & ZigBee in each of the following general solutions, or application areas:

Wireless Sensor Networks
Active RFID
Consumer electronics
Others ...

Technologies & Standards

• Extensive technology forces evaluation on 15.4 & ZigBee technologies and competing alternatives including:

15.4, ZigBee, 6LoWPAN, WirelessHart, ISA100, Z-Wave

• Comparison matrices and in-depth chipset analysis: single chip, 2-chip, duty cycles, estimated battery life in years by chip vendor, receiver sensitivity, flash memory, BOM analysis, development costs analysis, ASP analysis

• Software advances and solutions for WSN and 15.4/ZigBee product development

Market sizing (2007-2012)

Market size forecasts on 15.4 & ZigBee modules for the global total and in each target market including the following breakdowns:

• Units
• Revenues
• Solutions
• Target Markets
• Protocol (15.4/ZigBee)
• Geography

WSN Expert Survey

• In-depth market data from end users based on phone surveys with the following:

- Commercial building/property managers

- Industrial plant and senior engineering managers

- Utility senior managers/executives

- Professional home installers

• Surveys with industry experts, vendors and suppliers on current offerings as well as evaluations on current 15.4/ ZigBee technologies and predictions on fastest growing and largest market opportunities

The 15.4/ZigBee Value System

• Product segmentation: In-depth analysis and research data on the top 100 15.4/ ZigBee companies in the following product segments:

Components
Modules
Middleware/Software
Network Systems
Backend Systems

Each company is evaluated and detailed tables are included on the following:

• Business models

• Disruption & sustainability

• Technology dynamics: protocols, microcontrollers, frequencies, development tools, deployment/management, integration, devices, applications, software platforms, key features

• Profiles: offerings, partners, financials, targeted markets

Primary Research:

We conducted a total of 828 interviews/surveys for this report including the following:

End users: 448 phone interviews with end users including:

114 commercial building/property managers
115 industrial plant managers/senior engineering managers
159 utility senior managers/executives
60 professional home installers

Technology Companies:

380 interviews and online surveys with executives, product managers, and industry experts with manufacturers, software providers, and component suppliers.

Based on this research, we provide in-depth coverage of the Top 100 15.4/ZigBee companies including their offerings, supported protocols, partners, financials, and target markets. Some of the companies covered in this report include the following:

Chipsets: Atmel, Ember, Freescale, Integration, Jennic, Microchip, Nanotron, Renesas, STMicro, TI ... (more)

Modules: Aerocomm, Cincinnati, Cirronet (RFM), Computime, Crossbow, Develco, Dust Networks, GreenPeak, IWT, Maxstream (Digi), MeshNetics, MillennialNet, NEC, Panasonic, Radiocrafts, Synapse, Telegesis ... (more)

Middleware/Software: Airbee, Alektrona, Apprion, Arch Rock, ARCX, Daintree, IBM, Octave, Pedigree, SensorLogic, Sentilla, STG, Tendril ... (more)

Network Systems: Adozu, Alertme, AMX, Cellnet+Hunt, Centralite, Golden Power, Helicomm, Intellisensing, MUNet, NURI, RTI, S3C, Sensicast, Sensys, SpinWave, Trilliant, TSC Systems, Zykronix ...(more)

Backend Systems: Awarepoint, Comverge, Control4, Crane, Crestron, Eaton, Emerson, GridPoint, Hitachi, Inncom, Itron, Johnson Controls, Mitsubishi, Philips, Riga, Siemens, Streetline, TAC, TCS Basys, Timelox, Trane, Vantage ... (more)

Free Executive Summary:
Send us an email with
"zigbee" in the subject.

Interview with Bob Heile:
Essential ZigBee questions & answers including:

* Mesh networking and routing techniques
* Power management
* ZigBee PRO
* Robustness and scalability
* Upcoming public profiles
* Manufacturer Specific Profile
* Vendor interoperability
* ZigBee gateways & bridges

Executive Summary
Report Overview
Methodology

The 15.4/ZigBee Ecosystem
Summary
Market Forces
Emerging Trends
15.4 and ZigBee
15.4/ZigBee Solution Segments
Wireless Sensor Networks (WSN)
Active RFID/Real-time Location Systems
Other Low Rate Wireless Communications
The 15.4/ZigBee Value System

Target Markets
Advanced metering infrastructure (AMI)
Commercial buildings
Residential
Industrial
WSN “Niche” Markets
Other 15.4/ZigBee Markets

Global Total Forecasts
Units
Revenues
Units by Market
Revenues by Market
Units by Solution
Revenues by Solution
Average Sale Prices
ASP Model & Assumptions
Certification & Testing
Bill of Materials Variable Costs

Technologies & Standards
IEEE802.15.4
Physical (Phy) Layer
MAC (Media Access Control) Layer
Alternate MAC
802.15.4A
Physcial (Phy) Layer
ZigBee
ZigBee PRO
6LoWPAN
WirelessHART
ISA100
Competing Alternatives
Z-Wave
Potential Threats & New Alternatives
15.4/ZigBee Technology Considerations
Hardware/Firmware Options
Two-chipset Solutions
Single-IC Solutions
Range
Chipset Power Consumption Evaluation
Key Single Chip or Chip In Package Solutions
15.4/ZigBee Software Solutions
Frequency Modification
Interference Avoidance Techniques
Frequency Hopping
Frequency Agility
Higher Level Languages
Network Setup & Commissioning Tools
Power Management
Power Management Techniques
Location Finding
IP Gateways

WSN Expert Survey
Overview
Technology Dynamics
WSN Technology Evaluation
Industrial Monitoring & Control
Commercial Buildings
Home Controls & Automation
802.15.4 Resistance to WLAN
The ZigBee Protocol
Market Sizing .
Current Market Size
Geographical Regions
Current Targeted Markets by Percent of Sales
WSN in Five Years
Market Outlook
Fastest Growing WSN Markets
Highest Volume Markets in Five Years
Markets with the Most Disruptive Impact for WSN
WSN Inhibitors
Needed Innovations

Target Markets

Advanced Metering Infrastructure
AMI vs AMR
AMI Networks
The “Home Area Network”
HAN Business Models
Target Markets
Market Forces
Technology & Standards Developments
Market Drivers
The AMI Value System
Companies & Success Stories
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee Module Units
15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues
Unit Forecasts by Protocol

Commercial Buildings
Current Trends
Target Markets
Applications
Market Forces
Technology & Standards Developments
Market Drivers
Building Automation & Control Value System
Companies & Success Stories
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee Module Units
15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues
Unit Forecasts by Protocol|

Residential
WSN Solutions
Market Forces
Technology & Standards Developments
ZigBee
Z-Wave
Outlook
Market Drivers
Residential Automation & Control Value System
Companies & Success Stories
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee Module Units
15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues
Unit Forecasts by Protocol

Industrial
Enabling New Markets
Target Markets
Applications
Machine Health Monitoring
Environmental Monitoring
Market Forces
Technology & Standards Developments
IEEE802.15.4
Market Drivers
The Industrial Monitoring & Control Value System
Companies & Success Stories
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee Module Units
15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues
Unit Forecasts by Protocol

WSN “Niches”
Target Markets & Solutions
Market Forces
Technology & Standards Developments
IEEE802.15.4 and 15.4 variations
IETF 6LoWPAN
Market Drivers
Companies & Success Stories
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee Module Units
15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues
Unit Forecasts by Protocol

Other Markets
Target Markets & Solutions
Consumer Electronics
Others
Market Forces
Technology & Standards Developments
Market Drivers
Consumer Electronics
Active RFID/RTLS
Others
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee Module Units
15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues
Unit Forecasts by Protocol

The 15.4/ZigBee Value System
Components
Chipset Suppliers
Module Makers
Software/Middleware
WSN Development
IP to WSN Integration
Network Systems
Backend Systems

List of Figures

Figure 1: Top Four WSN Markets – Systems Revenues (2007-2012)
Figure 2: 15.4/ZigBee Companies by Product Segment
Figure 3: Protocols Supported by Company
Figure 4: ZigBee % of units sold in 2007 by Company
Figure 5: Targeted Markets by Company
Figure 6: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Modules (2007-2012)
Figure 7: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Figure 8: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Market (2007-2012)
Figure 9: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues by Market (2007-2012)
Figure 10: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Solution (2007-2012)
Figure 11: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues by Solution (2007-2012)
Figure 12: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Geography (2007-2012)
Figure 13: Global Total Modules: 15.4 vs ZigBee (2007-2012)
Figure 14: Module Average Sale Prices – Ecosystem Average (2007-2012)
Figure 15: Break Even Price versus Volume
Figure 16: IEEE802.15.4 Architecture
Figure 17: Basic 15.4 with Alternate MAC
Figure 18: IEEE 802.15.4 and Zigbee Working Model
Figure 19: IPV6 Header Compression
Figure 20: Percent of Deployed Nodes in Mesh Networks (2007)
Figure 22: WSN Expert Survey – Development Stage
Figure 23: WSN Expert Survey – Offerings
Figure 24: WSN Expert Survey – Target Markets
Figure 25: WSN Expert Survey – Radios/Protocols
Figure 26: WSN Expert Survey – Mesh Networks
Figure 27: WSN Expert Survey – Ave Units/Network
Figure 28: WSN Expert Survey – Ave Units/Network
Figure 29: WSN Expert Survey – Self/battery powered nodes
Figure 30: WSN Expert Survey – Desired power lifetimes
Figure 31: WSN Expert Survey – Node price
Figure 32: WSN Expert Survey – Protocol Experience
Figure 33: WSN Expert Survey – Industrial Protocol Evaluation
Figure 34: WSN Expert Survey – Commercial Buildings Protocol Evaluation
Figure 35: WSN Expert Survey – Home Automation Protocol Evaluation
Figure 36: WSN Expert Survey – 15.4/ZigBee Resistance to WLAN Interference
Figure 37: WSN Expert Survey – ZigBee Challenges
Figure 38: WSN Expert Survey – Global WSN Market Size in 2007
Figure 39: WSN Expert Survey – Geographical Breakdowns in 2007
Figure 40: WSN Expert Survey – Current Target Markets by Percent
Figure 41: WSN Expert Survey – Five Year WSN Forecast
Figure 42: WSN Expert Survey – Fastest Growing WSN Markets
Figure 43: WSN Expert Survey – Highest Volume WSN Markets in Five Years
Figure 44: WSN Expert Survey -- Markets with the Most WSN Disruptive Impact
Figure 45: WSN Expert Survey – Inhibitors
Figure 46: WSN Expert Survey – Needed WSN Innovations
Figure 47: HAN smart thermostat and in-home display
Figure 48: WSN for AMI - Five Year Market Drivers by Weight
Figure 49: The AMI Value System
Figure 50: AMI: 15.4/ZigBee Module Units (2007-2012)
Figure 51: AMI: 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Figure 52: AMI: 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Protocol (2007-2012)
Figure 53: Planned Commercial Bldg WSN Applications w/in 18 months
Figure 54: Commercial Buildings - Weighted Solution Drivers
Figure 55: The Building Automation & Control Value System
Figure 56: Commercial Buildings: 15.4/ZigBee Module Units (2007-2012)
Figure 57: Commercial Buildings: 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Figure 58: Commercial Buildings: 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Protocol (2007-2012)
Figure 59: Market Channels Targeted by Company
Figure 60: Professionals: Wireless home automation systems installed
Figure 61: Targeted Solutions by Company
Figure 62: Residential WSN - Five Year Market Drivers by Weight
Figure 63: The Residential Automation & Control Value System
Figure 64: Residential WSN: 15.4/ZigBee Module Units (2007-2012)
Figure 65: Residential WSN: 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Figure 66: Residential WSN: 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Protocol (2007-2012)
Figure 67: Current vs. Planned Wireless Applications
Figure 68: Expert Survey – Targeted Markets
Figure 69: Percent of WSN Nodes by Radio Protocol in 2007
Figure 70: Industrial - Weighted Solution Drivers in 2012
Figure 71: The Industrial Monitoring & Control Value System
Figure 72: Industrial: 15.4/ZigBee Module Units (2007-2012)
Figure 73: Industrial: 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Figure 74: Industrial: 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Protocol (2007-2012)
Figure 75: WSN “Niches” – Five Year Market Drivers by Weight
Figure 76: WSN Niches: 15.4 Module Units (2007-2012)
Figure 77: WSN Niches: 15.4 Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Figure 78: WSN Niches: 15.4 Modules by Protocol (2007-2012)
Figure 79: Consumer Electronics – Five Year Market Drivers by Weight
Figure 80: Active RFID/RTLS – Five Year Market Drivers by Weight
Figure 81: Others – Five Year Market Drivers by Weight
Figure 82: Others: 15.4/ZigBee Module Units (2007-2012)
Figure 83: Others: 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)

List of Tables

Table 1: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Modules (2007-2012)
Table 2: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Table 3: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Market (2007-2012)
Table 4: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues by Market (2007-2012)
Table 5: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Solution (2007-2012)
Table 6: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues by Solution (2007-2012)
Table 7: Global Total 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Geography (2007-2012)
Table 8: Global Total Modules: 15.4 vs ZigBee (2007-2012)
Table 9: Module Average Sale Prices – Ecosystem Average (2007-2012)
Table 10: RF Module Fixed Costs (Gen 1 to Gen 5)
Table 11: RF Certification & Testing
Table 12: 15.4/ZigBee Module Sales Margins & ASPs
Table 13: Predicted Ranges on Top 15.4 Chipsets
Table 14: Single Chip or Chip in Package Offerings Compared
Table 15: 15.4/ZigBee Location Solutions
Table 16: AMI: 15.4/ZigBee Module Units (2007-2012)
Table 17: AMI: 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Table 18: AMI: 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Protocol (2007-2012)
Table 19: Commercial Buildings: 15.4/ZigBee Module Units (2007-2012)
Table 20: Commercial Buildings: 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Table 21: Commercial Buildings: 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Protocol (2007-2012)
Table 22: Residential WSN: 15.4/ZigBee Module Units (2007-2012)
Table 23: Residential WSN: 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Table 24: Residential WSN: 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Protocol (2007-2012)
Table 25: Industrial: 15.4/ZigBee Module Units (2007-2012)
Table 26: Industrial: 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Table 27: Industrial: 15.4/ZigBee Modules by Protocol (2007-2012)
Table 28: WSN Niches: 15.4 Module Units (2007-2012)
Table 29: WSN Niches: 15.4 Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Table 30: WSN Niches: Modules by Protocol (2007-2012)
Table 31: Others: 15.4/ZigBee Module Units (2007-2012)
Table 32: Others: 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2007-2012)
Table 33: Others: 15.4/ZigBee Module Units by Protocol (2007-2012)
Table 34: Components - Technology Dynamics
Table 35: Components - Profiles .
Table 36: Modules - Technology Dynamics
Table 37: Modules - Profiles
Table 38: Middleware/Software - Technology Dynamics
Table 39: Middleware/Software - Profiles
Table 40: Network Systems - Technology Dynamics
Table 41: Network Systems – Profiles
Table 42: Backend Systems - Technology Dynamics
Table 43: Backend Systems – Profiles