ZigBee Crosses the Chasm
A Market Dynamics report on
IEEE802.15.4 and ZigBee

Published: May 2010

Contributors:
Mareca Hatler,
Darryl Gurganious,
Charlie Chi Ph.D,
Mike Ritter Ph.D

Pages: 130
(75 figures, 73 tables)

Table of Contents

ON World's Research Features:
* Leading industry experts
* Primary investigation
* Fortune 1000 customers
* Money back guarantee

Press release

Methodology

Testimonials

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Synopsis:

Low power wireless sensing and control markets, enabled by ZigBee, are experiencing exponential growth.  Today, ZigBee chipset suppliers are shipping tens of millions of units and the market is poised to grow to hundreds of millions of units within the next few years.  

Our research with more than 600 companies has found that the ZigBee market has "crossed the chasm" and is now a mainstream technology. Despite a challenging economy, 802.15.4/ZigBee unit sales have increased an average of 62% per year since 2007.  Moreover, chipsets using ZigBee specifications made up 75% of the 802.15.4 shipped units in 2009.

ON World has identified over 350 companies that offer, or are developing, ZigBee products with combined annual revenues of more than $1 trillion.  Demonstrated by new entrants such as BlueRadios, CEL, Dust Networks, and SyChip (Murata), momentum is growing.

In this report, we analyze the expanding market opportunity for low power wireless personal area networks including 802.15.4, ZigBee, Bluetooth/LE, WiFi/Low Power, Z-Wave, EnOcean, Wavenis and other proprietary alternatives.

ON World has been researching low power wireless sensing and control technologies for the past decade and has published dozens of reports on this subject. 

 

Primary Research:

600+ interviews including:

End Users
405 interviews with utilities, building property managers, industrial plant managers, and home installers...

Vendors/Experts
220+ interviews with the leading manufacturers, component suppliers, and platform providers involved with low power wireless sensing and control markets


Report Overview:

Target Markets:

• Market forces analysis of each of the major low power wireless sensing and control markets including the following:

Advanced metering infrastructure (AMI)
Home Automation
Consumer Electronics
Medical, Health & Wellness

Building Automation
Industrial Automation
Municipalities/Transportation
Others

Technologies & Standards

• Extensive technology forces evaluation on 15.4 & ZigBee technologies including 802.15.4, ZigBee PRO, ZigBee RF4CE, ZigBee Smart Energy, 6LoWPAN, IP sensor networking...

• Analysis of competing alternatives such as Bluetooth LE, LP WiFi, Z-Wave, and EnOcean.

• Standards developments, emerging trends, and what it means for your critical stategic planning

Market Sizing (2009-2014)

• Global market size forecasts on the overall RF units used for wireless sensing and control as well as other low power wireless networking (including 15.4/ZigBee and its nearest competing alternatives)

•Global market size forecasts on 15.4 & ZigBee modules including the following breakdowns:

• Units
• Revenues
• Application Segment
• Target Markets
• Protocol (15.4, RF4CE, ZigBee/PRO, ZigBee IP, Smart Energy)
• Frequency
• Geography

• In-depth analysis on the average sale price (ASP) per 15.4/ZigBee module per solution and per target market and costs for each component

The 15.4/ZigBee Value System

Product segmentation: In-depth analysis and research data on the top 70 that are having the biggest impact for the 15.4/ ZigBee market today in the following segments:

Chipsets
Modules
WSN Systems
Platforms

Disruption & Sustainability:

Each company was evaluated using the following criteria:

• Current offerings, products and services
• Financials, partners, go-to-market strategy
•Technologies such as protocols supported, chipset design, frequencies, tools, integration, software, key features...
• Evaluation on potential for disruption based on innovation, pricing and other "unfair" advantages• Evaluation on potential for sustainability based on financials, strategic alliances and current market shares


 

Free Executive Summary:
Send us an email
with
"zigbee"
in the subject.

 

 

 

Primary Research:

We conducted 600+ interviews for this report including the following:

End users: 405 phone interviews with end users including:

76 commercial building/property managers
105 industrial plant managers/senior engineering managers
104 utility senior managers/executives
120 professional home installers

Technology Companies:

ON World conducted 220+ interviews with executives and product managers with
leading manufacturers, component suppliers, and platform providers involved with low power wireless sensing and control markets. A few of the comapnies included in this report include the following:

Chipsets & Modules: Atmel, Coronis Systems, Dust Networks, Dynastream, Ember, Exegin, Freescale, GreenPeak, Jennic, Microchip, Nanotron, Nordic Semiconductor, Oki, RadioPulse, Renesas, Sigma Designs, Silicon Labs, STMicro, TI, ZMD...

Systems: Adura, Alertme, Ambient Systems, Arch Rock, Awarepoint, Black & Decker, CentraLlite, Daintree, Digi, Distech Controls, Eaton, Electrochem, Golden Power, Kanepi Innovations, Intermatic, Leviton, National, Onzo, Panasonic, Rainforest Automation, RF Technologies, Samsung, Wellstring, WiSuite...

Platforms: Awarepoint, Comverge, Control4, Crestron, Emerson, Hitachi, Ingersoll Rand, Itron, Johnson Controls, Landis+Gyr, Mitsubishi, Philips, Schneider, Siemens, Silver Spring, Streetline, Timelox, Trilliant, Vantage/Legrand, Yokogawa...


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Table of Contents


Executive Summary
Report Scope
Methodology

Technology Dynamics
Wireless Sensing & Control Technologies
Trends & Developments
Standards Evolution
Networking Advances & Innovations
IP Sensor Networking

WSN Technologies, Standards & Alliances
IEEE802.15.4
Physical Layer
MAC Layer
ZigBee
ZigBee Layers
ZigBee
RF4CE
ZigBee Specifications
ZigBee Profiles
ZigBee Smart Energy
IETF
6LoWPAN
ROLL
6LowApp/CoRE
IPSO Alliance
Industrial WSN Standards
WirelessHART
ISA100.11a
Bluetooth Low Energy
Low Power WiFi
Z-Wave
EnOcean
Others

The 15.4 & ZigBee Ecosystem
Market Segmentation
Total Potential Market Sizing
Market Forces

Global Total Forecasts
RF Sensing and Control Units
15.4/ZigBee & Other RF
15.4/ZigBee Unit Forecasts, Moderate & Aggressive
15.4/ZigBee Unit Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee Revenue Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee Forecasts by Market
15.4/ZigBee Forecasts by Solution
15.4/ZigBee Units by Geography
15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol
15.4/ZigBee Units by Frequency
15.4/ZigBee Units by Design Strategy
Average Sale Prices by Solution
Average Sale Prices by Market
15.4/ZigBee Module Components

Target Markets

Advanced Metering Infrastructure
Market Forces
Current/Planned Deployments
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee vs Others
Unit Forecasts
Revenue Forecasts
Units by Protocol

Home Automation
Market Forces
End User Perspectives
Products & Applications
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee & Other RF
Unit Forecasts
Unit Forecasts by Solution
Forecasts by Revenues
Units by Protocol

Consumer Electronics
Market Forces
Products & Applications
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee & Other RF
Unit Forecasts
Revenue Forecasts

Medical, Health & Wellness
Market Forces
Products & Applications
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee & Other RF
Unit Forecasts
Unit Forecasts by Solution
Revenue Forecasts
Units by Protocol

Building Automation
Market Forces
End User Perspectives
Products & Applications
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee & Other RF
Unit Forecasts
Revenue Forecasts
Units by Protocol

Industrial, Logistics and Renewable Energy
Market Forces
End User Perspectives
Products & Applications
Market Size Forecasts
15.4/ZigBee & Other RF
Unit Forecasts
Revenue Forecasts
Units by Protocol

Municipalities/Transportation
Market Forces
Products & Applications
Market Size Forecasts
15.4 & ZigBee vs Others
Unit Forecasts
Revenues Forecasts

Others
Market Forces
Market Size Forecasts
Unit Forecasts
Revenue Forecasts

Value System

Components
Disruption & Sustainability
Market Share Leaders
Innovators & New Entrants
Product Segmentation
Profiles

WSN Systems
Disruption & Sustainability
Profiles

Platforms
Disruption & Sustainability
Profiles

List of Figures

Figure 1: Wireless Sensor Network Technologies
Figure 2: Normal Protocol Stack vs. 6LoWPAN Protocol Stack
Figure 3: ZigBee Network Layers
Figure 4: ZigBee PRO Ranked by User Requirements
Figure 5: RF4CE Ranked by User Requirements
Figure 6: ZigBee’s Evolution
Figure 7: Bluetooth LE Ranked by User Requirements
Figure 8: LP WiFi Ranked by User Requirements
Figure 9: Z-Wave Ranked by User Requirements
Figure 10: EnOcean Ranked by User Requirements
Figure 11: 802.15.4 & ZigBee – Target Markets, Drivers & Risks
Figure 12: Total Potential 802.15.4/ZigBee Units
Figure 13: 802.15.4 & ZigBee –Market Forces by Segment
Figure 14: AMI Market Forces
Figure 15: Home Automation Market Forces
Figure 16: Consumer Electronics Market Forces
Figure 17: Medical, Health Wellness Market Forces
Figure 18: Building Automation Market Forces
Figure 19: Industrial Market Forces
Figure 20: Municipalities Market Forces
Figure 21: Global RF Sensing & Control Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Figure 22: Global RF Sensing & Control Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Figure 23: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Figure 24: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units (2009-2014)
Figure 25: Global 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Figure 26: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Market (2009-2014)
Figure 27: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Solution (2009-2014)
Figure 28: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Geography (2009-2014)
Figure 29: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014)
Figure 30: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Topology (2009-2014)
Figure 31: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Frequency (2009-2014)
Figure 32: Global 15.4/ZigBee Module vs Chipset Units (2009-2014)
Figure 33: Global 15.4/ZigBee Module ASPs by Solution (2009-2014)
Figure 34: Global 15.4/ZigBee Module ASPs by Market (2009-2014)
Figure 35: Global 15.4/ZigBee Average Module Component Costs in 2009
Figure 36: AM – RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Figure 37: AM – 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Figure 38: AM - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Figure 39: AM – 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014)
Figure 40: Home Installers Preferred HAN Technology
Figure 41: Home Automation Wireless Technologies Currently Used
Figure 42: HA – RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Figure 43: HA – 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Figure 44: HA - 15.4/ZigBee Units by Solution (2009-2014)
Figure 45: HA - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Figure 46: HA - 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014)
Figure 47: CE – RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Figure 48: CE - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Figure 49: CE - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Figure 50: ME – RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Figure 51: ME - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Figure 52: ME - 15.4/ZigBee Units by Solution (2009-2014)
Figure 53: ME - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Figure 54: ME – 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014)
Figure 55: Planned Building WSN w/in 18 Months
Figure 56: Planned WSN Applications w/in 18 Months
Figure 57: BD – RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Figure 58: BD - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Figure 59: BD - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Figure 60: BD – 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014)
Figure 61: Industrial End Users Planning Wireless Sensing/Control
Figure 62: Industrial End Users Planned WSN Applications
Figure 63: IN – RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others(2009-2014)
Figure 64: IN - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Figure 65: IN - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Figure 66: IN – 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014)
Figure 67: MU – RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Figure 68: MU - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Figure 69: MU - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Figure 70: OT - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Figure 71: OT - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Figure 72: The 802.15.4 & ZigBee Value System
Figure 73: 802.15.4 & ZigBee Components – Disruption & Sustainability
Figure 74: 802.15.4 & ZigBee Systems – Disruption & Sustainability
Figure 75: 802.15.4 & ZigBee Platforms – Disruption & Sustainability

List of Tables

Table 1: WSN Technologies Compared
Table 2: 802.15.4 Summary
Table 3: ZigBee Summary
Table 4: ZigBee Specifications Overview
Table 5: ZigBee Profiles
Table 6: WirelessHART and ISA100.11a Compared
Table 7: Bluetooth LE Summary
Table 8: WiFi LP Summary
Table 9: Z-Wave Summary
Table 10: EnOcean Summary
Table 11: Other WSN Technologies & Standard
Table 12: Global RF Sensing & Control Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Table 13: Global Total RF Sensing & Control Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Table 14: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Table 15: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units (2009-2014)
Table 16: Global 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Table 17: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Market (2009-2014)
Table 18: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Solution (2009-2014)
Table 19: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Geography (2009-2014)
Table 20: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014)
Table 21:Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Topology (2009-2014)
Table 22: Global 15.4/ZigBee Units by Frequency (2009-2014)
Table 23: Global 15.4/ZigBee Modules vs Chipset Units (2009-2014)
Table 24: Global 15.4/ZigBee Module ASPs by Solution (2009-2014)
Table 25: Global 15.4/ZigBee Module ASPs by Market (2009-2014)
Table 26: Global 15.4/ZigBee Average Module Component Costs in 2009
Table 27: AMI Summary
Table 28: AM – 15.4 & ZigBee Announced/Planned Deployments
Table 29: AM– All RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Table 30: AM– 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Table 31: AM - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Table 32: AM – 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014)
Table 33: Home Automation Summary
Table 34: ZigBee Certified Home Automation and Smart Energy Products
Table 35: HA - RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Table 36: HA – 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Table 37: HA - 15.4/ZigBee Units by Solution (2009-2014)
Table 38: HA - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Table 39: HA - 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014)
Table 40: Consumer Electronics Summary
Table 41: Current Wireless Consumer Electronics Products & Applications
Table 42: CE –RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Table 43: CE - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Table 44: CE – 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Table 45: Medical, Health & Wellness Summary
Table 46: ME – RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Table 47: ME - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Table 48: ME - 15.4/ZigBee Units by Solution (2009-2014)
Table 49: ME - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Table 50: ME – 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014
Table 51: Building Automation Summary
Table 52: Wireless Building Automation Products & Applications
Table 53: BD – RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Table 54: BD - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Table 55: BD - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Table 56: BD – 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014)
Table 57: Industrial Summary
Table 58: Wireless Industrial Automation Products & Applications
Table 59: IN – RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Table 60: IN - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Table 61: IN - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Table 62: IN – 15.4/ZigBee Units by Protocol (2009-2014)
Table 63: MU – Summary
Table 64: MU – RF Units, 15.4/ZigBee & Others (2009-2014)
Table 65: MU - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Table 66: MU - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Table 67: Other Low Power WPANs Summary
Table 68: OT - 15.4/ZigBee Units, Moderate & Aggressive (2009-2014)
Table 69: OT - 15.4/ZigBee Module Revenues (2009-2014)
Table 70: 802.15.4 & ZigBee Components – Product Segmentation
Table 71: 802.15.4 & ZigBee Components – Profiles
Table 72: 802.15.4 & ZigBee Systems – Profiles
Table 73: 802.15.4 & ZigBee Platforms – Profiles



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